HIGHLIGHTS: AUGUST 25, 2023
• Letter to presidential candidates
• Gardner leads FICC meeting with Alexis Taylor
• Book a meeting with USDEC’s Strategic Insights team
• USDEC staff, members named to ag trade committees
• USDEC prepares FAS trainees
• U.S. dairy ingredients in spotlight at Colombian food trade show
• U.S. CDE meeting focuses on sustainability in SEA
• Market Summary: Chinese imports rise again in July
• Download USDEC’s latest International Demand Analysis
• Brazil subsidizes domestic milk powder purchasing
• New multimodal service links Canada, U.S., Mexico
• Drought causes ship pile-up at Panama Canal
• Round-up of latest company results
• Company news briefs: Arla Foods Ingredients, Glanbia, Wells
Featured
Letter to presidential candidates calls for U.S. leadership in opening new markets, rules-based trading
A
coalition of U.S. agricultural organizations, including USDEC and NMPF,
sent a letter this week to all the presidential campaigns calling for
the United States “to again take the lead in negotiating new FTAs with
other countries and work to strengthen and reform the rules-based
multilateral trading system.” USDEC staff helped shape the letter’s
message.
The
letter highlights the importance of international agricultural trade to
U.S. jobs, noting that the United States—which has long enjoyed an
agricultural trade surplus—will run a food and agricultural trade
deficit of $17 billion this year, according to USDA forecasts. That’s
because 1) the U.S. has grown overdependent on China since China joined
the WTO in 2000 and 2) the United States has fallen behind the
competition when it comes to opening new markets.
Selling
nearly 20% of U.S. food and ag exports to any one country—in this case
China—leaves the U.S. vulnerable to supply chain shocks, which we saw
with the beginning of the U.S.-China trade war that resulted in tariffs
and retaliatory tariffs in 2018 and 2019.
The
letter asks the candidates to ensure U.S.-China relations are handled
in a manner that holds China accountable yet maintains market access for
U.S. agricultural goods. It further calls for market diversification to
help with risk mitigation for U.S. farm goods.
New
FTAs with other countries and work to strengthen and reform the
rules-based multilateral trading system could protect American workers
and the environment, help contain China’s growing geopolitical
influence, and open new export markets for U.S. farmers by meaningfully
reducing and eliminating tariffs and nontariff barriers, the letter
states.
USDEC stresses critical need for ongoing U.S. government engagement and leadership in Codex
On
Wednesday, Aug. 23, the U.S. Food Industry Codex Coalition (FICC) met
with Alexis Taylor, USDA Under Secretary for Trade and Foreign
Agricultural Affairs, and officials from the U.S. Codex Office urging
continued U.S. leadership and engagement with the Codex Alimentarius
Commission.
USDEC
Senior Vice President, Sustainability and Multilateral Affairs Nick
Gardner, in his role as coordinator of the FICC, led the meeting, which
also included USDEC Senior Vice President, Trade Policy Shawna Morris,
and 19 other food and ag industry representatives.
Threats to Codex
Gardner
outlined the key role Codex plays in creating a level playing field for
global food trade through its science- and risk-based approach to food
standards, and emphasized how that function is under threat as some,
like the EU, seek to utilize Codex to advance their own trade and
ideological interests. He encouraged continued U.S. government
leadership against efforts to undermine the science-based Codex process
or expand the scope of Codex beyond its core public health and trade
facilitation mandate. He specifically called out the EU’s continued
efforts to enshrine EU regulations in Codex when not scientifically
justified and expressed concerns about the bloc’s increasingly
aggressive efforts to undermine or revise core Codex risk-based
principles to introduce precautionary approaches.
The
U.S. government and U.S. Codex Office have stepped up international
outreach in recent years to build coalitions of like-minded governments
to protect Codex’s science-based approach. USDEC has been a strong
advocate of this effort, mirroring and complementing it through USDEC’s
own partnership with allies like the Inter-American Institute for
Cooperation on Agriculture.
Gardner
asked Taylor to continue to support and provide resources for the U.S.
Codex Office for international outreach and coalition building,
particularly in areas where the U.S. needs allies to push back against
EU-led efforts to undermine or revise Codex rules. He also requested
that she prioritize efforts to engage peers in key foreign ministries on
priority issues for U.S. agricultural stakeholders, like protecting
science as the core of the Codex decision-making process. Gardner also
reiterated the need to be vigilant against any attempts to decrease
Codex participation opportunities for the private sector.
USDEC’s role
The
FICC is a group of more than 70 U.S. food and beverage companies and
associations, including USDEC and NMPF, with a keen interest in Codex
activities and the level playing field it creates through the
development of science- and risk-based international standards. USDEC’s
five-year leadership of FICC and ongoing work with allied groups are
essential to building the coalitions needed to deliver Codex outcomes of
critical importance to U.S. dairy.
Meet with USDEC Strategic Insights team on Sept. 7, Sept. 20 or Oct. 4
Don’t
miss this opportunity for one-on-one time with USDEC’s Strategic
Insights (SI) team. The SI team is hosting “Office Hours” for USDEC
members on three days in September and October.
“Office
Hours” include a dedicated 30-minute block of time to engage in
insightful discussions with the USDEC SI team. Whether you require
guidance on specific export markets, products or strategic
decision-making, the SI team offers a wide range of resources and can
provide custom research analysis tailored to your specific requests.
NEW SI office hours are available on the following dates and times:
- Sept. 7: 10 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. ET
- Sept. 20: 10 a.m. – 12:00 p.m. ET
- Oct. 4: 9:30 a.m. – 11: 30 a.m. ET
Sign up for a time to meet with the Strategic Insights team here.
USDEC staff, members named to ag trade committees
USDA
and USTR announced 130 new private sector representatives, including
USDEC members and staff, for seven Agricultural Trade Advisory
Committees (ATACs). The new appointees join 70 additional
representatives who are still serving out their full terms.
Jaime
Castaneda, USDEC executive vice president, Policy Development and
Strategy, was elected chair of the ATAC for Trade in Animals and Animal
Products in 2021 and remains in that position.
Shawna
Morris, USDEC senior vice president, Trade Policy, was newly named to
the ATAC for Trade in Processed Food. Morris also continues to serve on
the Department of Commerce’s Industry Trade Advisory Committee.
USDEC
members Ken Meyers, MCT Dairies; Chad Vincent, Dairy Farmers of
Wisconsin; and Michael Lichte, Dairy Farmers of America, were new
additions to the ATAC for Trade in Animals and Animal Products. In
addition, DairyAmerica’s Patti Smith is also completing her term.
The
committees gather representatives from diverse livestock, poultry,
seafood, labor union and academia backgrounds to provide trade policy
and technical advice to the U.S. Trade Representative and U.S. Secretary
of Agriculture. Dairy sector participants provide critical guidance on
technical and policy trade issues to the current or future
administrations, helping to ensure that the priorities of America’s
dairy producers, processors and manufacturers are heard.
USDEC staff briefs FAS trainees
For
the second time this year, USDEC held a training day for Foreign Ag
Service (FAS) trainees preparing to head out to their global posts. The
USDEC team provided an overview of the U.S. dairy industry including its
sustainability commitments, export challenges and priorities, and how
USDEC helps to accelerate export growth. Staff conducting the training
were: Shawna Morris, senior vice president, Trade Policy; Nick Gardner,
senior vice president, Sustainability and Multilateral Affairs; and
Sandra Benson, vice president, Market Access and Regulatory Affairs.
Morris,
Gardner and Benson also explained how USDEC works collaboratively with
FAS offices in D.C. and posts around the world and outlined the top
regulatory and policy concerns to be aware of as they head out into the
field. FAS and its attachés have long been key USDEC partners in the
effort to build U.S. dairy export markets. The briefing was another
platform to deepen the relationships with those representatives and
build their knowledge of U.S. dairy so they can be even better advocates
for the industry.
Events
U.S. dairy ingredients in the spotlight at Colombian food trade show
After
holding more than 180 quality meetings with current and potential
customers at the USDEC booth at the Food Ingredients South America
(FiSA) in Brazil earlier this month (see Global Dairy eBrief, 8/18/23),
U.S. dairy ingredients suppliers logged another 150-plus on Aug. 16-17
at the Expo IAlimentos show in Bogota, Colombia. Interest at both shows
attests to the rising profile of U.S. dairy in South America.
U.S.
dairy ingredient export volume to South America grew more than 9% in
2022 and was up 19% through the first six months of 2023. Both shows
seek to build on those gains.
“While
Expo IAlimentos is a smaller show than FiSA, it’s the most important
show for the Colombian food ingredients industry,” says Terri Rexroat,
vice president, Global Ingredients Marketing. “154 meetings at a two-day
show is an impressive total. USDEC’s booth was highly visible, located
right at the show entrance, and booth traffic was steady the entire two
days.”
Six
members exhibited at the USDEC booth, while one other exhibited
elsewhere. Above: Representatives from Agri-Dairy, BTG Ingredients,
Hoogwegt, James Farrell & Co., Proliant Dairy Ingredients and Saputo
take a photo break at the booth with USDEC staff.
In
addition to its presence on the show floor, USDEC also participated in
the academic Congress associated with the event. Universidad de
Antioquia Professor John Ortiz spoke on behalf of USDEC. He presented to
about 150 representatives from food and beverage makers at the
Congress, highlighting the U.S. dairy ingredient portfolio, including
features and benefits of individual ingredients. Ortiz also leads the
training for USDEC workshops conducted in conjunction with the Colombian
Institute of Science and Food Technology (INTAL).
Universidad
de Antioquia professor and USDEC workshop trainer John Ortiz highlights
U.S. dairy ingredient benefits at last week’s Expo IAlimentos in
Colombia.
Sustainability focal point of USDEC Southeast Asia meeting with members
This
past Wednesday, 19 locally based representatives from nine USDEC member
companies attended a half-day informational session on sustainability
in Southeast Asia at the U.S. Center for Dairy Excellence in Singapore.
At a time when competition from plant and other alternative proteins is
intensifying, sharing the U.S. sustainability story is an opportunity
for U.S. suppliers in the region to build customer confidence that the
U.S. dairy community has a long legacy of, and steadfast future
commitment to, environmental stewardship. Yet it is important for U.S.
companies to know how to tell that story in a locally-appropriate
context that resonates with Southeast Asian consumers.
USDEC
Singapore staff sat down with the group to better understand what they
are hearing from customers as well as to discuss how Southeast Asian
consumers interpret sustainability and how members might use findings of
custom USDEC research on sustainability perceptions to tailor messages
when engaging with customers. For more information, please contact the
Singapore office at info@usdecsg.org.
USDEC
members and staff at this week’s sustainability informational session
at the U.S. Center for Dairy Excellence in Singapore.
Market Summary
Chinese dairy imports grow again in July
Year-over-year
Chinese dairy imports (major products, not including fluid) increased
9% in July (+15,467 MT). It was sixth straight month of year-over-year
gains. And while China is still lagging behind 2022 year to date, the
country has made up a lot of ground since January.
Chinese
imports in January were 170,000 MT less than the previous year. From
February-July, China made up 100,000 MT, leaving the country slightly
less than 70,000 MT behind year-to-date.
Strong demand for SMP, cheese, whey (0404.10) and lactose and slowly rebounding WMP purchasing have led the comeback.
In
July, SMP, WMP and cheese posted solid double-digit gains again.
Chinese cheese imports were the highest of the year: 17,496 MT (+51%,
+5,943 MT). Chinese WMP imports have bested the previous year for three
straight months. SMP has been the most consistent growth product all
2023 and rose 20% in July (+5,614 MT).
Whether China will maintain the momentum is questionable, given its economic problems and other challenges.
Despite
gains in July overall, the numbers are hinting at potential trouble
ahead. Monthly whey (0404.10) gains have steadily eroded since January
when they topped the previous year by 72% (+25,515 MT). July imports, by
contrast, fell 4% (-2,376 MT), the first monthly decline of 2023. And
in the back half of the year, whey (0404.10) is facing much stronger
2022 comparables than the first half.
Lactose
also declined for the first time this year in July. It was only a small
drop (-1%, -107 MT), but contrasts sharply with the first half, where
the average monthly gain was 47%.
Domestic
Chinese milk production continues to displace fluid imports. July fluid
imports fell 14% and have been down every month this year. Chinese
infant formula imports, which started the year strong, have spiraled
downward since May, plunging 53% in July.
And
New Zealand July exports to China, a precursor of Chinese dairy imports
the following month, dropped 4% compared to the previous year. By
contrast, New Zealand dairy shipments to China for the April-June period
(not including fluid) grew 59%, suggesting China’s run of
year-over-year growth is in jeopardy.
USDEC International Demand Analysis with June data ready for download
Year-over-year global dairy trade jumped 5% in milk solids equivalent (MSE) terms in June, according to the latest USDEC International Demand Analysis.
It was the second consecutive month of solid gains. But like May, it
was driven solely by increased exports from New Zealand (+29%) and the
EU (+8%), while U.S. shipments continued to lag (-12.5%).
For more details on June global dairy trade and the outlook moving forward, download the report here. The International Demand Analysis
is packed with charts, graphs and commentary, providing members with a
forward-looking glimpse at world markets from a U.S. exporter’s point of
view. It analyzes demand in the key markets for cheese, NFDM/SMP, whey
(HS Code 0404.10) and WPC80+, and also includes shorter summaries for
lactose, butterfat and WMP. For questions and comments, please reach out
to William Loux (wloux@usdec.org) or Stephen Cain (scain@nmpf.org).
Brazil purchasing milk powder to decrease imports
As
part of its ongoing efforts to support the country’s milk producers,
the Brazilian government announced plans to purchase powdered milk at
retail prices to reduce the import of those products from other South
American countries. At the Agroleite 2023 show in Castro, Brazil, the
country’s Minister of Livestock and Agriculture Carlos Favaro said the
goal of the initiative is to “reduce the market and guarantee
profitability to cooperatives and, consequently, to producers.” Favaro
also said more efforts are needed to strengthen the dairy sector in the
sixth largest milk producer in the world, including enhancing its milk
production technologies. Brazil projects milk production will increase
about 3.6% in 2023. (Agriland, 8/9/23)
Supply Chain
Crowley to launch U.S., Mexico, Canada multimodal service
Crowley
Logistics has announced plans to launch a new multimodal, end-to-end
service between Mexico, the Midwest and Canada. The service will utilize
Crowley’s new Mexico-United States route in the Gulf and leverage the
inland rail network of Canadian National Railway. The shipping route
will go from Tuxpan, Mexico (northeast of Mexico City), to Mobile,
Alabama, and avoid the congestion of inland transportation between the
United States and Mexico. The ships taking that route will carry up to
1,000 TEU containers and more than 200 refrigerated containers. After
reaching Alabama, those containers will be connected to the rail system
and moved to cities including Chicago, Detroit, Minneapolis, Memphis,
Toronto, Montreal and more.
Panama Canal delays pile up
Low
water levels caused by severe drought have created a major shipping
backup at the Panama Canal. To conserve water, canal authorities have
capped daily transits across the canal to 32 vessels, down from an
average of 36 under normal conditions. As a result, more than 150 ships
are stuck on either side of the canal, causing extreme shipment delays.
In addition, canal authorities have added premiums on heavier loads,
forcing companies to transport fewer items.
While
only relatively small volumes of U.S. dairy exports traverse the canal,
it is used by about 40% of all U.S. container ships, and many ships are
backed up for more than 20 days. As ships on transpacific routes from
Asia to the U.S. deviate from their typical Panama Canal routes to other
terminals, U.S. West Coast ports could see more activity. Experts say
the additional time and costs being added to these journeys may be
passed down to other companies and consumers and estimate that months of
additional rainfall could be required to replenish the canal and resume
normal operations. (CNBC, 8/9/23; The Loadstar, 8/22/23; Wall Street Journal, 8/18/23)
Company News
Arla inks collaboration deal with Chinese distributor
Arla
Foods Ingredients signed a new partnership agreement with Chinese
ingredient and chemical distributor Zhongbai Xingye Food Technology
(Beijing) Co., a unit of the Brenntag Group. The two companies have a
15-year relationship that includes a jointly funded Innovation &
Application Center in Zhongbai’s Beijing facility to develop
China-specific formulations. The new agreement expands their cooperative
product development work and covers the full range of Arla’s ingredient
products. “This agreement will help us adapt, and make our offering to
Chinese markets even stronger,” said Luis Cubel, Commercial Director of
Arla Foods Ingredients. (Company reports)
Corporate report round-up
Ongoing
inflation and increased supply chain expenses continue to hinder
companies across the globe as they release their most recent financial
performance results.
Glanbia plc
reported first-half earnings that exceeded expectations, driven largely
by the strong performance of its Glanbia Performance Nutrition (GPN)
business. Group revenues for the company, which recently changed its
financial reporting currency from the euro to the U.S. dollar, were $2.8
billion for the first half of 2023, down from $3.1 billion in HY 2022.
But group EBITA (before exceptional items) grew 6.1% (constant
currency). GPN revenue increased by 3.4% in HY 2023 versus the previous
year. Based on its half-year results, Glanbia upgraded its full-year
guidance to 12%-15% growth in adjusted earnings per share.
In its first quarter 2024 report, Saputo
revenues fell 2.8% while net earnings rose 1.4% compared to the same
quarter last fiscal year. Factors cited by the company as affecting the
first quarter performance included the positive carryover effect of
previously implemented pricing initiatives in all its sectors, lower
average block market price and butter market price in the USA sector and
softening of the global demand for dairy products negatively impacting
its sales volumes.
Bel Group
revenues rose 6.3% in the first half of 2022. The company attributed
the gain in part to sustained double-digit growth in China and strong
performances by core brands including Kiri and Boursin. Sales in China increased for the fourth consecutive year, driven in part by the performance of Kiri cheese. Strengthening its presence there was Bel’s acquisition of a majority stake in China’s Shandong Junjun Cheese.
Second quarter 2023 results for Yum China
showed record growth in total revenues and operating profit. The
unaudited results show total revenues increased 25% to $2.65 billion, up
from $2.13 billion in 2022. Total system sales increased 32% year over
year, with increases of 32% at KFC and 30% at Pizza Hut. Same-store
sales increased 15% year over year, and the company opened 422 new
stores during the quarter. Net Income increased 138% to $197 million
from $83 million in the prior year period, primarily due to a 216%
increase in operating profit, which jumped to $257 million and has
already surpassed the entire year for 2022. Company officials credited
robust digital capabilities, an agile supply chain and special marketing
campaigns for its strong performance, as well as strong sales on
holidays including Children’s Day.
In its FY 2023 annual results, A2 Milk
reported revenue for FY23 up 10.1% from the previous year and net
profit growth of 26.9%. The company credited its China-focused growth
strategy for the revenue increase. The China & Other Asia segment
saw revenue rise 37.9%, and it exceeded NZ$1 billion (about US$594
million) for the first time. The gains came despite an overall decline
in the Chinese infant formula sector of more than 10% in A2’s FY23. The
company attributed the decrease to China’s declining birth rate,
challenging macroeconomic conditions and increased competition. A2 said
it expected another double-digit decline in China’s infant formula
sector in FY24 but expected the company to still post low single-digit
revenue growth. (USDEC China office; Company reports; Radio New Zealand, 8/21/23)
Glanbia plc leader to step down at year-end
Glanbia
plc’s Group Managing Director Siobhán Talbot announced plans to step
down effective Dec. 31. 2023, and retire from the company in January
2024. Hugh McGuire, currently CEO of Glanbia Performance Nutrition, will
take over as CEO of Glanbia plc effective Jan. 1, 2024. Talbot joined
Glanbia plc in 1992 and has been managing director for the past 10
years. (Company reports)
Company news briefs
Wells Enterprises
is more than doubling its ice cream and frozen novelty manufacturing
capacity at its Dunkirk, N.Y., facility. Construction will begin this
fall. Wells is owned by Italian confectionery company Ferrero Group. … The Cheesecake Factory is set to open its first store in Thailand in December through its relationship with Hong Kong-based foodservice operator Maxim’s Caterers.
The new store is located in Bangkok. Last fall, Cheesecake Factory and
Maxim’s announced they planned to open 18 Cheesecake Factory locations
in Thailand by 2028. (Company reports; Lifestyle Asia, 8/17/23)
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